Who actually gets the future right?
FutureLedger tracks public predictions and scores them against reality — giving everyone a clear, unbiased view of forecasting accuracy.
Figure of the week
No accuracy score yet · 7 new predictions this month
Trending figures
Figures with the most new predictions and resolutions in the last 30 days.
| Figure | Accuracy | New predictions | New resolutions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Altman | — | 6 | 2 |
| Elon Musk | — | 7 | 0 |
| Michael Saylor | — | 2 | 0 |
| International Monetary Fund | — | 1 | 0 |
| BAE Systems | — | 1 | 0 |
Top figures
No figures have a resolved prediction yet.
Top topics
- Tech — 7 predictions · difficulty 50
- AI capabilities — 3 predictions
- Bitcoin — 2 predictions
- Robotics — 2 predictions
- AI economics — 2 predictions
Recent predictions
- SpaceX's annual recurring revenue for the super intelligence business will be between $500 billion and $1 trillion by the end of 2027. — Elon Musk
- Bitcoin will grow 20%-30% a year each year until October 2046. — Michael Saylor
- Bitcoin price will top $100,000 by October 2027. — Michael Saylor
- JPMorgan Chase will achieve $107 billion in net interest income (excluding markets business revenue) in 2027. — Jamie Dimon
- Tesla's flying car will enter production in 2028. — Elon Musk