Helion is on pace in 2024 to demonstrate Q > 1 fusion.

By Sam Altman · 7/13/2022 · Tech

Prediction

Type: binary

Status: resolved

Source: https://blog.samaltman.com/helion-needs-you

Outcome

incorrect on 12/31/2024

Accuracy score: 0 (simple_binary)

Helion did not demonstrate Q > 1 (net energy gain) by the December 31, 2024 deadline. Multiple sources confirm the 2024 target was missed, and by February 2026 Polaris had only achieved measurable D-T fusion at 150 million degrees without net energy gain.